Dynamics
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Digital Traces of Human Behaviour: From Political Mobilisation to Conspiracy Narratives
Digital platforms generate unprecedented traces of human behaviour, offering new methodological approaches to understanding collective action, polarisation, and social dynamics. Through analysis of millions of digital traces across multiple studies, we demonstrate how online behaviours predict offline action: Brexit-related tribal discourse responds to real-world events, machine learning models achieve 80% accuracy in predicting real-world protest attendance from digital signals, and social validation through "likes" emerges as a key driver of mobilization. Extending this approach to conspiracy narratives reveals how digital traces illuminate psychological mechanisms of belief and community formation. Longitudinal analysis of YouTube conspiracy content demonstrates how narratives systematically address existential, epistemic, and social needs, while examination of alt-tech platforms shows how emotions of anger, contempt, and disgust correlate with violence-legitimating discourse, with significant differences between narratives associated with offline violence versus peaceful communities. This work establishes digital traces as both methodological innovation and theoretical lens, demonstrating that computational social science can illuminate fundamental questions about polarisation, mobilisation, and collective behaviour across contexts from electoral politics to conspiracy communities.
Comparing supervised learning dynamics: Deep neural networks match human data efficiency but show a generalisation lag
Recent research has seen many behavioral comparisons between humans and deep neural networks (DNNs) in the domain of image classification. Often, comparison studies focus on the end-result of the learning process by measuring and comparing the similarities in the representations of object categories once they have been formed. However, the process of how these representations emerge—that is, the behavioral changes and intermediate stages observed during the acquisition—is less often directly and empirically compared. In this talk, I'm going to report a detailed investigation of the learning dynamics in human observers and various classic and state-of-the-art DNNs. We develop a constrained supervised learning environment to align learning-relevant conditions such as starting point, input modality, available input data and the feedback provided. Across the whole learning process we evaluate and compare how well learned representations can be generalized to previously unseen test data. Comparisons across the entire learning process indicate that DNNs demonstrate a level of data efficiency comparable to human learners, challenging some prevailing assumptions in the field. However, our results also reveal representational differences: while DNNs' learning is characterized by a pronounced generalisation lag, humans appear to immediately acquire generalizable representations without a preliminary phase of learning training set-specific information that is only later transferred to novel data.
Exploring Lifespan Memory Development and Intervention Strategies for Memory Decline through a Unified Model-Based Assessment
Understanding and potentially reversing memory decline necessitates a comprehensive examination of memory's evolution throughout life. Traditional memory assessments, however, suffer from a lack of comparability across different age groups due to the diverse nature of the tests employed. Addressing this gap, our study introduces a novel, ACT-R model-based memory assessment designed to provide a consistent metric for evaluating memory function across a lifespan, from 5 to 85-year-olds. This approach allows for direct comparison across various tasks and materials tailored to specific age groups. Our findings reveal a pronounced U-shaped trajectory of long-term memory function, with performance at age 5 mirroring those observed in elderly individuals with impairments, highlighting critical periods of memory development and decline. Leveraging this unified assessment method, we further investigate the therapeutic potential of rs-fMRI-guided TBS targeting area 8AV in individuals with early-onset Alzheimer’s Disease—a region implicated in memory deterioration and mood disturbances in this population. This research not only advances our understanding of memory's lifespan dynamics but also opens new avenues for targeted interventions in Alzheimer’s Disease, marking a significant step forward in the quest to mitigate memory decay.
Perceptions of responsiveness and rejection in romantic relationships. What are the implications for individuals and relationship functioning?
From birth, human beings need to be embedded into social ties to function best, because other individuals can provide us with a sense of belonging, which is a fundamental human need. One of the closest bonds we build throughout our life is with our intimate partners. When the relationship involves intimacy and when both partners accept and support each other’s needs and goals (through perceived responsiveness) individuals experience an increase in relationship satisfaction as well as physical and mental well-being. However, feeling rejected by a partner may impair the feeling of connectedness and belonging, and affect emotional and behavioural responses. When we perceive our partner to be responsive to our needs or desires, in turn we naturally strive to respond positively and adequately to our partner’s needs and desires. This implies that individuals are interdependent, and changes in one partner prompt changes in the other. Evidence suggests that partners regulate themselves and co-regulate each other in their emotional, psychological, and physiological responses. However, such processes may threaten the relationship when partners face stressful situations or interactions, like the transition to parenthood or rejection. Therefore, in this presentation, I will provide evidence for the role of perceptions of being accepted or rejected by a significant other on individual and relationship functioning, while considering the contextual settings. The three studies presented here explore romantic relationships, and how perceptions of rejection and responsiveness from the partner impact both individuals, their physiological and their emotional responses, as well as their relationship dynamics.
Spatio-temporal large-scale organization of the trimodal connectome derived from concurrent EEG-fMRI and diffusion MRI
While time-averaged dynamics of brain functional connectivity are known to reflect the underlying structural connections, the exact relationship between large-scale function and structure remains an unsolved issue in network neuroscience. Large-scale networks are traditionally observed by correlation of fMRI timecourses, and connectivity of source-reconstructed electrophysiological measures are less prominent. Accessing the brain by using multimodal recordings combining EEG, fMRI and diffusion MRI (dMRI) can help to refine the understanding of the spatio-temporal organization of both static and dynamic brain connectivity. In this talk I will discuss our prior findings that whole-brain connectivity derived from source-reconstructed resting-state (rs) EEG is both linked to the rs-fMRI and dMRI connectome. The EEG connectome provides complimentary information to link function to structure as compared to an fMRI-only perspective. I will present an approach extending the multimodal data integration of concurrent rs-EEG-fMRI to the temporal domain by combining dynamic functional connectivity of both modalities to better understand the neural basis of functional connectivity dynamics. The close relationship between time-varying changes in EEG and fMRI whole-brain connectivity patterns provide evidence for spontaneous reconfigurations of the brain’s functional processing architecture. Finally, I will talk about data quality of connectivity derived from concurrent EEG-fMRI recordings and how the presented multimodal framework could be applied to better understand focal epilepsy. In summary this talk will give an overview of how to integrate large-scale EEG networks with MRI-derived brain structure and function. In conclusion EEG-based connectivity measures not only are closely linked to MRI-based measures of brain structure and function over different time-scales, but also provides complimentary information on the function of underlying brain organization.
Impact evaluation for COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions: what is (un)knowable?
COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) policies have been one of the most important and contentious decisions of our time. Beyond even the "normal" inherent difficulties in impact evaluation with observational data, COVID-19 NPI policy evaluation is complicated by additional challenges related to infectious disease dynamics and lags, lack of direct observation of key outcomes, and a multiplicity of interventions occurring on an accelerated time scale. Randomized controlled trials also suffer from what is feasible and ethical to randomize as well as the sheer scale, scope, time, and resources required for an NPI trial to be informative (or at least not misinformative). In this talk, Dr. Haber will discuss the challenges in generating useful evidence for COVID-19 NPIs, the landscape of the literature, and highlight key controversies in several high profile studies over the course of the pandemic. Chasing after unknowables poses major problems for the metascience/replicability movement, institutional research science, and decision makers. If the only choices for informing an important topic are "weak study design" vs "do nothing," when is "do nothing" the best choice?
Beyond visual search: studying visual attention with multitarget visual foraging tasks
Visual attention refers to a set of processes allowing selection of relevant and filtering out of irrelevant information in the visual environment. A large amount of research on visual attention has involved visual search paradigms, where observers are asked to report whether a single target is present or absent. However, recent studies have revealed that these classic single-target visual search tasks only provide a snapshot of how attention is allocated in the visual environment, and that multitarget visual foraging tasks may capture the dynamics visual attention more accurately. In visual foraging, observers are asked to select multiple instances of multiple target types, as fast as they can. A critical question in foraging research concerns the factors driving the next target selection. Most likely, this would require two steps: (1) identifying a set of candidates for the next selection, and (2) selecting the best option among these candidates. After having briefly described the advantage of visual foraging over visual search, I will review recent visual foraging studies testing the influence of several manipulations (e.g., target crypticity, number of items, selection modality) on foraging behaviour. Overall, these studies revealed that the next target selection during visual foraging is determined by the competition between three factors: target value, target proximity, and priming of features. I will explain how the analysis of individual differences in foraging behaviour can provide important information, with the idea that individuals show by-default internal biases toward value, proximity and priming that determine their search strategy and behaviour.
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